Geopolitical Escalation Risk Cycle

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  "name": "Geopolitical Escalation Risk Cycle",
  "description": "I want a geopolitics-risk basket for the current news cycle — find liquid Polymarket events that express escalation vs de-escalation and size them as a coherent story.",
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          "title": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?",
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                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Sanctions are official government measures that restrict eco"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "groupItemTitle",
                    "excerpt": "US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?"
                  }
                ],
                "facetKind": "direct",
                "contentRisk": "none_detected",
                "verification": "server_verified_excerpt",
                "retrievalMode": "keyword",
                "causalRelation": "New tariffs, export restrictions, or retaliatory trade measures support a broader great-power confrontation narrative.",
                "evidenceFields": [
                  "question",
                  "description",
                  "groupItemTitle"
                ],
                "matchedFacetId": "us_china_trade_escalation",
                "relevanceScore": 70,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
              },
              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?",
          "marketSlug": "us-imposes-new-sanctions-on-china-by-september-30",
          "targetWeight": 0.1666
        }
      ],
      "thesis": "I want a geopolitics-risk basket for the current news cycle — find liquid Polymarket events that express escalation vs de-escalation and size them as a coherent story.",
      "constraints": {
        "minOiUsd": 800,
        "maxMarkets": 12
      },
      "description": "Geopolitical Escalation Risk Cycle"
    }
  }
}